Rubrics Morning Comment 20.06.24
20th June 2024
• Treasuries Are a Whisker Away From Erasing This Year’s Loss (1) • What a Reelected Trump Could and Couldn’t Do to Sway the Fed • China Has No Favorite in Biden-Trump Race, US Intelligence Finds • Treasuries Edge Lower as Cash Trading Resumes, NZ Bonds Fall more
Rubrics Morning Comment 19.06.24
19th June 2024
• Traders Bet on a Treasury Rally With Two 2024 Fed Cuts Priced In • Fed Officials Urge Patience on Rate Cuts, Offer Hints on Timing • US Retail Sales Barely Increase in Sign of Consumer Strain • US Industrial Output Rises More Than Forecast in Broad Advance more
Rubrics Morning Comment 18.06.24
18th June 2024
• Fed’s Harker Says One ‘24 Rate Cut Appropriate Based on Outlook • Mester Urges Fed to Explain Its Decisions, Policies More Clearly • Trading Indicator With 100% Win Rate Signals Sell Long Bonds Now • Goldman Sees US Jobs at Inflection Point, Sticks to Two Cut Call more
Rubrics Morning Comment 17.06.24
17th June 2024
• Global Rate-Cut Juggernaut Is Struggling to Start: Eco Week • How the US Mopped Up a Third of Global Capital Flows Since Covid • Kashkari Says Fed Well-Placed to Take Its Time Ahead of Rate Cut • Fed’s Mester Sees Inflation Risks to Upside Despite Better Data more
Rubrics Morning Comment 14.06.24
14th June 2024
• US Jobless Claims Rise to Highest in 9 Months, Led by California • US Producer Prices Surprise With Biggest Decline Since October • US Money-Market Funds Hit All-Time High of $6.12 Trillion (1) • Fed Diverges From Global Peers in New Era of Higher for Longer more
Rubrics Morning Comment 12.06.24
12th June 2024
• Fed Faces Dot-Plot Cliffhanger as CPI Looms: Decision-Day Guide • ‘Set the Alarm’ Rings Across Asia Desks on Double-Whammy Fed Day • Treasury Auction Draws Strong Demand Despite Key Risks Ahead • US to Widen Sanctions to Curb Chip Sales to Russia’s War Machine more
Rubrics Morning Comment 11.06.24
11th June 2024
• Fewer Job Promotions Leave Entry-Level US Workers ‘High and Dry’ • Zero-Coupon Bond Pile Balloons to Near Half-a-Trillion Dollars • Bond Traders Will Follow the New Fed Dots All the Way Into 2025 • JPMorgan Warns of a Shock to Stock Market’s Calm From CPI, Fed more
Rubrics Morning Comment 10.06.24
10th June 2024
• Fed Dot Plot Offers Glimpse of Rate-Cut Resolve: Eco Week Ahead • Jobs Surge to Reignite Fed Debate Over How Restrictive Rates Are • Traders Are Bracing for Volatility on Fed-CPI Double Blow • Three Reasons Why US Finance Is Cruising Through a Long Fed Hold more
Rubrics Morning Comment 07.06.24
7th June 2024
• ECB Officials Caution Against Any Rush for More Rate Cuts (1) • ECB’s inflation worries have traders fearing a rate cut go-slow • Bonds Post Longest Run of Gains Since November on Easing Bets • Treasuries Steady Before US Jobs Data, BOJ Will Buy Debt more
Rubrics Morning Comment 06.06.24
6th June 2024
• Rate-Cut Bets Supercharge Longest Bond Winning Streak This Year • ECB to Begin Cuts But Path Beyond Gets Murkier: Decision Guide •‘Everything Is Not Going to Be OK’ in PE, Kleinman Says more